Egypt vs Algeria: The Failure

Last Wednesday was a very sad day for Egyptian football. Algeria beat Egypt 1-0 in the play-off game to reach the World Cup for the third time. Egypt's best footballing generation ever didn't. I was almost reduced to tears after the game. I am after all a fan. Football rarely has this impact on me. It can always change my mood for sure but never frustrate me as much. I recall my eyes watering twice after a football game. In 1990 after England knocked us out of the World Cup with a Mark Wright header and when AC Milan lost the Champions League (no, not in Istanbul) against Ajax to a Patrik Kluivert goal in the 88th minute. Yeah I don't know why I cried either. My frustration came from the fact that after all this I was right. Never have I wished more to be wrong and for Mr. Shehata to prove he is the mastermind tactician he so blatantly is not. You can blame who you want for our failure to qualify, Algerians, players, referee or luck. I blame Hassan Shehata.

Where to begin? His failure was not in mismanaging this final play-off match. It was throughout the qualifications. Egypt has played the same game of football for the entire campaign. We played poorly and below our potential in all 7 games. If you bring your memory back to the Zambia game in Cairo, where it all began. We had no midfield couldn't control the game, couldn't create chances and Zambia ripped us to shreds on the counter attack. They got a deserved equalizer and if it was not for some luck they would have won. (My father told me then that it was never going to happen, should have listened). We followed this up by a humiliating defeat to Algeria. We played a decent first half with Trieka and Zidan combining perfectly but without any real menace or chance creation. After going down by a goal it all went bad. Mr. Shehata is no tactician, he panics and eveything goes to hell. He couldn't contorl Algeria and hit them on the break when it was 0-0 and he couldn't attack to get a draw after going a goal down. In trying to attack he left us wide open at the back and we got hit by 2 more goals. This was a turning point in the qualification. Algeria took momentum and self belief from that game and never looked back(they had started with a poor 0-0 draw away to Rwanda). There was a break after this from the qualification and Egypt went to the Confederations Cup.

Egypt faced Brazil then Italy and we managed an incredible showing against Brazil and beat Wold Champions Italy. Shehata inadvertently had discovered a gold mine. Injuries to all of his top strikers forced him to play a 3-6-1 formation with Zidan as a lone striker supported by Trieka form the midfield with three holding midfielders that included Hassan, Shawky, Homos or Hosny to control the game. This worked perfectly it gave a lot of freedom to the wing backs Mowaad and Fathi (Mohamady)to bomb forward, with Trieka free to roam as he pleases in midfield and the pace of Zidan. We looked scary in attack and solid defensively. Egypt's holding midfielders were not just grunts. They could pass and shoot the ball adding extra support in attack when needed (Shawky and Homos both scored in this tournament) It might have not sounded pretty but it was perfect. Only when Mr. Shehata decided to change this against the U.S.A were we convincingly beaten. If you recall we played the same game we had continued to play afterwards and versus Zambia and Algeria previously. Drained after playing both Italy and Brazil Shehata decided to play with just 2 holding midfielders and opted for 2 strikers plus Trieka. We lost control of the game and couldn't even defend a theoretical 2 goal advantage and lost 3-0 without testing Tim Howard once!Live and learn I thought, but it seemed Shehata had the memory of a gold fish.

In Cairo we beat an unlucky Rwanda (yes, unlucky. take a look at the game) 3-0 by sheer determination. Again it was haphazard and thanks to the referee we managed to score a very late penalty and an injury time goal. Due to the results of Algeria we had to win all our remaining games and then some.We went to Rwanda next with all of our top choice strikers out and Zidan was banned by our brilliant Coach because he decided to stay with his club and not show up for a firendly against Guniea that put into highlight all of our flaws both in attack and defense. It ended 3-3, Guniea finished bottom of their qualification group. I can't recall a single chance we created against Rwanda. We played poorly and luck was on our side and Ahmed Hassan scored after a skirmish in the penalty area. I said then that our midfield was poor and we would live to regret goinng a goal up and wasting time in my article When the Going gets Tough. We all regret it now!

Against Zambia it was even worse. Same game plan. We couldn't go forward and left ourselves wide open at the back and would have lost convincingly if not for Hadary. We won with our only shot on goal (more info in Zambia 0 Hadary 1). Other results meant Egypt needed to beat Algeria by 2 goals to force a play-off. After scoring an early goal we again played the same game we have been playing. No midfield, no chance creation and very poor overall. Hadary again kept us in it and Meteb scored a goal at the death to keep us in it. Luck was on our side one last time (The Aftermath for more details regarding the game)

Then came the final game. All of Egypt was hopeful. We had made a tremendous comeback. Morale in the Algeria camp has to be low. Guess what? Hassan Shehata again played the same game. It was his third time playing Algeria and it seemed he had learned nothing. He tinkered with his team again. A team he has been coaching for 4 years now. I would have understood if he started with the same formation as the last game, although I would prefer Fathi on the flanks for protection. But no way, this is Shehata. He decided to go with a new midfield combo. Not in any game since he took charge of Egypt did he ever play Fathi and Hassan as the only holding midfielders together and again he LOST THE MIDFIELD! Where was Homos? The player who started the last game never even played this one!. Where was Shehata's 3-6-1, his masterpiece? Surly he could control Algeria with it.

He opted to bench Zidan for some reason although this was to be an open game (prior to Egypt conceding). There was going to be space and Zidan's pace and dribbling ability would have been lethal. The only time he got the ball in a good position he created something out of nothing and Meteb missed a glorious chance. We proceeded to play the same game. Random play, no tactics and long balls. If he wanted to play long balls then what was the point of passing six passes before hitting a long ball? Wasting time while we were down? and if Shehata wanted to play the long ball strategy then why not get Mido to help you out. He is a real threat in the air!

Hadary also wasted 25minutes by hitting the ball straight to the oppositions keeper! What the hell was that about? It took our manager that long to notice that this is idiotic. We became much more dangerous as soon as we passed the ball around. We conceded against the run of play at the end of the half.

The second half Shehata had to do something. He decided to play Zidan for Zaki and Hosny for Fathi? As we have come to expect a straight swap.. Taking Zaki off was strange as although I'm a fan of Meteb it would be a no brainer to take him off as he hasn't played a full 90minutes for almost a year. Changing players in the exact same position. we wasted 2 changes and we did not become more dominant. The coach of Algeria tried to help us out by starting to defend too deep and taking off one of his forwards. Shehata's luck had truly run out. His changes didn't work! He even decided to change things just as we started playing better. Hani Said pushed into the midfield for support and his impact was very noticeable. The former Bari man originally plays in midfield and caused a bit of havoc with his passing and runs. Egypt missed a glorious chance after Hany had put Trieka through and Hosny missing the follow up with the goal at his mercy. We also managed one or two decent free-kicks. Shehata took off Saka for Eid AbdelMalek whose sole purpose was to pass the ball to Mohamady for the cross. Hani went back to defense. Nothing had changed from the first game. We again failed to capitalize on their 2 central defenders clearing to the edge of their own box. No one was there for the shot. Why was Zidan taking corners. He crossed 4 identical corners in the same area were not a single Egyptian player was there. Apparently he never took corners before! Why wasn't Moawad put into play. It was obvious he had the upper hand over Algeria's right back. The list goes on. We continued to look poor up to the final whistle. Egypt's dream was over.

My point here is that it was not the final game that knocked us out. We were poor in all our games and there is an old saying in football that throughout a season decisions even themselves out. Meaning; effects of the calls and breaks for and against a team cancel one another at the end. The same goes with luck we were lucky to reach a play-off game and we were unlucky to lose it. It is probably the most game we had clear cut chances in. There should be no pats on the back for Hassan Shehata though. He failed to qualify from the easiest qualification group in Africa. His 2nd seed Zambia didn't make it through the group stage in last years CAN 2008. Algeria hadn't even qualified for the last 2 Nations Cup. I remember my friends and I celebrated when we learned of the draw! Egypt lead by Shehata gifted qualification to Algeria. It was easy, a win against Zambia, one more goal against Rwanda and we would have been there. His tentative approach and inability to learn from games cost us qualification. Supporters of Shehata will tell you he won two CAN in 2006 and 2008. I tell them bravo. He must have done something right at some point.

In 2006 it was on home soil and in a World Cup year with a lot of the top teams focused on the world cup. Shehata also had 7 starters from Ahly who at the time was the most dominant force in African Club football. Not only that, Ahly was playing fantastic football as well. Hadary, Gomaa, AbdelWahab (R.I.P) Barakat, Shawky, Trieka and Meteb. In 2008 Egypt got a lot of momentum after the 4-2 win versus Cameroon and it is much easier to keep momentum when you are in a tournament. We played some good football but had some luck on our side too. We have fantastic players and we were underdogs in a lot of the games and that always works in our favor. Most of all there was no pressure. Shehata can't deal with pressure or instill the confidence required for such crucial matches. Shehata should resign or get sacked.

He will stay till Angola in 2010 I'm sure and I'm glad, as afterwards he will be sacked and we can get a coach to lead us to glory. No Egyptian coach will take us to the world cup in the foreseeable future. We have some bright lights like Tarek El Ashry but it is too early for him. The Egypt job should be given to one man and one man only. Manuel Jose. He has enough experience and rapport with all football fans in the country. He would be untouchable and if left to work in peace we will be there in 2014.

Road To South Africa 2010: Egypt vs Algeria, The Aftermath

Prior to the game 38% of voters on the Poll thought we would directly qualify and another 38% thought we would force a play-off game. 24% thought that Algeria would go through, they were wrong. Egypt has indeed forced a final play-off game versus Algeria for one last time. I had earlier predicted in my article Road To South Africa that Algeria were favorites to qualify, I stand by that but I'm ecstatic Egypt were able to force one final game. I also mentioned that for Egypt to qualify they had to do it in Cairo, but after yesterdays extraordinary circumstances I'm inclined to take a different perspective.

The game was a very tense affair for players and spectators a like. However, after the dream start we had with a Zaki goal in the 2nd minute I thought we would put Algeria to the sword, I was wrong. I'm not sure what happened after this goal as it seemed to me that as a team Egypt took it's foot off the paddle a couple of minutes later, maybe because they realized they had to score just 1 more goal in the remaining 90minutes or possibly a bit of relief set in. Regardless this helped Algeria regain it's composure and like true professionals they started to get more and more into the game. Their midfield lead by Zaini dominated the game and it seemed Egypt could only regain possession by fouling the opposition. Egypt were restricted to long balls and direct play for the rest of the first half.

Algeria could have equalized at the final breath of the first half if not for Hadary. The veteran again proved that he is with out a doubt one of the most composed and talented keepers in the current game. He was arguably Egypt's best player and time and again delivered to keep us in the game with a number of fantastic saves. Abdel Zaher El Sakka was another excellent performer and his return to the squad is most certainly welcome one. He was calm and collected throughout the game and this proved invaluable as his counterpart Hani Said was a nervous wreck at some parts. Nerves seemed to have taken the better of the Egyptian team as they were unable to put on any serious number of passes to open up the opposition and again in the second half it seemed Algeria were dominating the midfield even more and were truly scary on the break. At a point it seemed that Algeria were much better footballers, freely dribbling past one or two players from Egypt. I knew otherwise and I could only attribute this to that Egypt were tense and wanted the ball in the other side of the field ASAP.

Our starting eleven, I thought were the best for this game and for once me and Shehata agreed on something. Tactically we left a lot to be desired and there is nothing that rubs me the wrong way more than a coach that has no impact on the game in the 2nd half. Captain Hassan did nothing to try and regain the midfield, he even weakened it by taking off Homos and adding Brakat. Ok Homos was not particularly impressive, but who was? Trieka was a ghost, he was not looking for the ball as much as he usually does and nothing was working for him. I'm thinking the ball he hit the post with that eventually lead to the goal hampered his confidence. Chance creation was left to Zidan. The striker dropped into our own half to get the ball (Trieka's job) leading to a lack of attacking presence inside and around the box. Zidan should have been getting the ball closer to the box by Trieka. The few times he got it there he was ever so dangerous. Barakat was lost for the first 15minutes he came on, and neither he nor Shehata new where he was supposed to play. Egypt changed formation a number of times throughout, credit to Shehata trying to unsettle the opposition, but at points it seemed too random and haphazard.

Tactical complaints aside, it was always going to be difficult for Egypt with Algeria employing 11 players behind the ball and in fairness we were not as bad as I initially thought during the game. Every time we manged to break down their tough midfield we looked extremely dangerous and in my opinion their defense is not as strong as they set themselves to be. They only look strong because of their midfielders protecting them. The game would have been a lot easier if Mohamady showed more ability to cross the ball when getting into really good positions and/or if we were better placed to take long shots off his cleared crosses. To Mr. Shehata's credit the fighting spirit on the pitch was very evident. Egypt's players fought for each other and for their coach. Not once did you see a player waving or arguing with his fellow teammates, when frankly some deserved it. Egypt were a disciplined team.

Algeria dropped deeper towards the end of the game and Egypt looked more and more dangerous, however as injury time drew closer I had almost lost hope. Egypt are known for a lot of things, injury time winners was not one of them. If this were an Ahly game I would have had faith till the last breath. Ahly does this sort of thing regularly, you need to look no further than last season's last game. It is something inherit in Ahly's footballing culture, it is not in Egypt's. So you can guess my shock and awe when Emad Meteb (Moteb or Meteab) rose to head the ball clinically into the back of the net at almost the final kick of the game. I was ecstatic, all of Egypt was. I was even happier the goal scorer was Meteb.

The Predator, as my father and I like to call him, has been recovering from a six month lay-off and was subject to huge ridicule at the last CAN 2008 in Ghana. Meteb in my opinion is the best striker in Egypt's current generation. Ever since the first time I saw him in the U-20 African Nations Cup under Shehata were he finished top scorer he seemed special. He is miles ahead of our other strikers, with all due respect to Zaki, Zidan and Mido (the thin one). He might not have the dribbling skills of Zidan, the brute force of Zaki or the presence of Mido but he is much more. He has all these abilities combined. The boy can shoot with both legs and is lethal in front of goal. He works tirelessly for his team and is never selfish. He can take on defenders or hold them off. He can take direct free-kicks and head the ball too. People tend to forget that he was pivotal to our CAN 2006 win in Egypt with 3 goals. In 2008 his work rate and positioning opened up chances for the likes of Trieka, Zidan and Zaki. When Manuel Jose's Ahly were dominating local and African football he was the pivot in front of Barakat and Trieka. He would have never scored a more important goal in his career than that against Algeria and I'm glad he will get his over due credit.

Algeria will be distraught, they were 30 seconds away from the World Cup in South Africa. They have suffered yet another set back. 2 month ago it seemed unlikely Egypt could fathom 2 back to back away wins and even if we had done that Algeria were surely going to thrash Rwanda and make it impossible for Egypt to beat the goal difference, but here we are. Egypt has proved a worthy contender and in any other year 4 wins and a draw would have sent us to the World Cup with flying colors and if the head to head rule was applied we would not be playing a decider. Egypt has now got the momentum and hopefully top players like Trieka and Ahmed Hassan will rise to the occasion now that some of the pressure has been lifted. If Algeria can lift themselves after the heart break to put on a performance against Egypt next Wednesday it will be very interesting. Otherwise Shehata's men will be there to finish off the job they started in Cairo.

Road To South Africa 2010: Europe

EUROPE

Nine group winners have already qualified with just a few surprises. Most of the top guns came through with out a scratch: Germany, Italy, Spain, England and the Netherlands. Most surprisingly was the first time qualification of Serbia that sent France to the play-offs. Slovakia also qualified for the first time with old friends of the competition Denmark and Switzerland making it through. It was the end of an era for teams like the Czech Republic and Sweden who failed to even make the play-offs and who have been a constant show up in many previous World Cups.

The top 8 out of 9 runner ups were drawn to face-off against one another for the final 4 spots in Europe. Scotland were eliminated as the worst runner up. The draw was seeded according to the latest FIFA rankings, a decision that made many teams furious. Non more so than the Republic of Ireland whose coach Giovanni Trapattoni called this a disgrace. He had a right to feel aggrieved as this decision was taken prior to finding out who has qualified and was not part of the original rules. However, although I might think this to be a bit unfair, overall it is better for football and the World Cup as a face off between Portugal and France would have truly been bad for the competition.

Play-Offs:

Game 1:

Republic of Ireland v France: This has to be one of the toughest games to call. Ireland are on a high, they have a good coach in Trapattoni who was recently described by Ancelotti as "Very Very Smart" and a solid squad that includes the likes of Given, O'Shea, Dunne, Duff, Reid, Doyle and Robbie Keane. They might not be world beaters but they are an experienced bunch who practice their trade in the strongest league in the world, The Barclay's Premier League. Italy failed to beat them twice in qualifiers and they finished the group stage undefeated. On the other hand France will still be coming to terms that they are actually in the play-offs. However, they are an experienced bunch and will quickly focus on the task at hand. I'm not particularly fond of Reymond Domenech nor am I a fan of his strange antiques when it comes to coaching, but he has lead this team to a world cup final before. There is also the fact that the French team is one of the strongest in the world. World class players in every position. In attack Benzema, Anelka and Henry. The fantastic on form Gourcuff in midfield, Ribery if fit will be a hand full. In defense there is Arsenal trio Sagna, Gallas and Clichey in addition to Eric Abidal. This is to name a few of the available options. France have history and experience on their side but Ireland are a disciplined team under the Trap. It is going to be close.

Manga's Prediction: France to South Africa

Game 2:

Portugal v Bosnia-Herzegovina: It seems clear cut with Portugal on paper huge favorites. Taking a deeper look at things may give us a different perspective. Portugal are not on form at the moment and injury to their best player and arguably the best player in the world Cristiano Ronaldo will not help their cause. He is confirmed to miss both legs of the play-offs. Chelsea right back Bosingwa is also injured. Coach Carlos Queiros is not as experienced as one would think and Portugal provided a poor showing in their group and lost twice to group winners Denmark. Make no mistake though they are sill a handful and boast talents from the top leagues from Europe. They also include a nice mixture of youth and experience. On the other hand Bosnia have true experience in Miroslav Blazevic. He is the coach that lead Croatia to 3rd place in France 1998. He has probably the most prolific striker in European football at the moment in Edin Dzeko. His teammate Misimovic is able to both create and score goals and with the rest of the squad mostly playing in the Bundesliga they have quality.

Manga's Prediction: I'll go out on a limb here, Bosnia Herzegovina to South Africa

Game 3:

Greece v Ukraine: The Greeks have the distinct advantage of having one of the greatest coaches alive in my opinion, Otto Rehhagel. He has been with them since 2001 and sticking with him has put Greece on the map of world football after their Euro 2004 win. The German tactician is more than capable of leading Greece to the World Cup but it seems Greek football is at a period of change with very few footballers playing outside of Greece. Yes this maybe due to the fact the Greek league has improved a lot but still, they are not the impenetrable fortress they used to be. Ukraine face the same problem with an abundance of local players in the National team. However, club football in the Ukraine is on an up with Dynamo Kiev doing wonders in the Champions League and Shakhtar Donetsk winning the UEFA Cup recently. Schevchenko and Co face a tough battle. This one is going to be very close

Manga's Prediction: Tough one, youth to edge it. Ukraine to South Africa

Game 4:

Russia v Slovenia: Slovenia are more of an unknown quantity to me. They did have some good result in qualifiers mainly edging out Czech Republic convincingly for second place and beating group winner Slovakia twice. However, in my opinion this was one of the easiest groups in qualifiers. This aside Slovenia will be facing one of the most exciting European teams, Russia. Lead by the brilliant Guus Hiddink and his fantastic captain Arshavin, Russia have a real chance of lighting up South Africa. We all got a taste of what this team can do at Euro 2008 . They came second to the mighty Germans in qualifying and pushed the Manshaft till the end. It would be a huge upset if Slovenia pull this off, but then again this is football and this is what makes it amazing.

Manga's Prediction: Russia to South Africa

R.I.P Enke

Germany and Hannover 96 Goal Keeper Robert Enke was declared dead yesterday after his car was hit by a train. Initial reports suggest that it was suicide. Enke had lived with personal tragedy after losing his two year old daughter to a rare heart disease. Enke would have been Germany's number one Goal Keeper in next years World Cup in South Africa.

A tragedy like this helps remind us that footballers are actually human beings and should be treated as such, it's not always fame and glory. My condolences to his family on this tragic day for world and German football. Enke was 32

Road To South Africa 2010: The Americas

CONCACAF

The Qualification include teams from North and Central America along with the Caribbean. 3 teams have already qualified from this region. Mexico, U.S.A and surprisingly Honduras sending Costa Rica to a play off versus Uruguay.

Honduras qualified dramatically as they beat El Salvador away from home 0-1 in a very tight affair. Their game ended early and they had to wait on the result of U.S.A and Costa Rica. U.S.A were assured of qualification and Costa Rica needed a win to qualify automatically and were well on their way with a 2-1 lead against the U.S. However, an injury time equalizer sent them to the play-offs. Wild celebrations erupted in Honduras who reach their first World Cup since Spain 1982 thanks to the efforts of such stars as David Suazo, Wilson Palacios, Figueroa and top scorer Carlos Pavon.

SOUTH AMERICA

Brazil as expected dominated proceedings and qualified with 2 games to spare. Chile and Paraguay followed and a final day win for Maradona's Argentina against Uruguay sent them through and pushed Uruguay for a play-0ff match as Ecuador failed to beat Chile.

Play-Off:

Uruguay face off against Costa Rica in a two-legged playoff for the final qualification spot in the Americas. Uruguay have been there before and although will be disappointed to have to go through this again they have enough quality to do so. From Napoli's Walter Gragano to Villarreal's prolific Striker Diego Forlan it seems the odds are in their favour. Costa Rica too have an abundance of players playing in Europe but in my opinion lack the caliber that is ever present through out the Uruguay squad. If experienced coach Oscar Tabarez can get his team to perform up to their potential, Costa Rica will face an uphill task.

Manga's Prediction: Uruguay to South Africa

Road To South Africa 2010

It's crunch time in World Cup Qualifications. Come the end of November 18th all nations to be present in next year's African World Cup will be determined. As a result I thought of discussing each continent and It's qualification possibilities in a series of articles.

AFRICA

Two teams have already qualified with a round to spare, Ghana and Cote D'Ivoire. For the rest of the Continent it's do or die, not only for World Qualification but also for CAN 2010 in Angola next January.

Group A

Cameroon lead the group by 10 points, 1 point ahead of Gabon with both teams travelling to Morocco and Togo respectively. Cameroon need a win to insure qualification while Gabon need to win and hope the Lions fail to win at Morocco. What makes this more interesting is the fact that both Togo and Morocco need a win to clinch the final qualification spot to the African Cup of Nations next year(Top 3 teams qualify), with Togo needing a win to make sure of that regardless of the other result. Cameroon are back to their winning ways under the guidance of Paul Le Guen and have made a remarkable come back under new captain Samuel Eto'o with 3 wins in a row (twice against Gabon and once versus Togo) to put themselves in pole position.

Manga's Prediction: Cameroon to South Africa, Gabon and Togo to Angola

Group B

Surprisingly Tunisia are clear favorites to qualify from this group. They are 2 points ahead of Nigeria thanks to a remarkable 2-2 draw away to the Super Eagles. Nigeria face failure to qualify for the second year running, a disaster by their standards. A win against Mozambique away from home would ensure the Carthage Eagles of Qualification. A draw with Nigeria failing to beat Kenya in Nairobi would lead to the same result. However if Tunisia fail to win and Nigeria beat Kenya the World Cup Qualification spot would go to Nigeria on Goal Difference.

Nigeria's predicament came via a 0-0 away draw with Mozambique sparking speculation that Tunisia's trip there maybe more difficult than it seems.

Similar to Group A both teams have a fight on their hands as Kenya and Mozambique still have real chances of making it to the Nations Cup with Mozambique ahead by 1 point.

Manga's Prediction: Tunisia to South Africa, Nigeria and Mozambique to Angola

Group C

Sadly for me Algeria lead this group by 3 clear points from top seed seed Egypt. Algeria has had a great run in the campaign having not lost any games and accumulating 4 wins that included to wins against Zambia and a 3-1 thrashing of African Champions Egypt in Algeria. Their only negative point came at the start of their campaign with a 0-0 draw away to Rwanda. Egypt seemed dead and buried after 3 rounds and the encounter versus Algeria in Cairo would have been pointless had Egypt not won two strongly contested 1-0 away wins versus Rwanda and Zambia respectively a feat Egypt had not achieved in god knows how long. This group comes with a twist. Egypt needs to beat Algeria by 3 clear goals to ensure automatic qualification, if they manage to win by only 2 goals a one legged play-off game on neutral ground on the 18th of November will have to be played to decide who qualifies to South Africa since all other tie breaking criteria between the teams would be equal . Any other result or an Egypt win by just 1 goal would hand qualification to Algeria for the first time in 24years. I really can't see Egypt beating Algeria twice in 4 days so I feel our best chance is not to go to a decider. The job must be completed in Cairo. Egypt's task is daunting yet not impossible and the 6 time African Champions need to show what they are truly made of if they are to qualify.

Manga's Prediction: Algeria (by numbers and probability) to South Africa, Egypt and Zambia to Angola

Resurrection

Leonardo refused the term AC Milan resurrection after the 2-0 win at home to Parma because he says we were not dead to start with. Maybe he is right, Milan were not dead but they were terminally ill and on their way to a timely demise.

I wrote in my article Les Miserable around a month ago of how AC Milan have become a wreck. A month would seem an eternity now and I'm almost forced to eat my words. That's the beauty of football, you are always one result away from turning your fortunes around. The 2-1 home win against Roma completely transformed the Milan season. However the pinnacle has to be the outstanding win versus the galacticos of Real Madrid at Santiago Bernabeu. It's was not the scoreline that was impressive it was the way Leonardo approached the game. The Brazilian tactician proceeded to field an attacking formation much to the surprise of everyone, playing Ronaldinho-Inzaghi- Pato with Seedorf as extra support in midfield.

His gamble paid off and the 4 man attack is still doing wonders, with Milan undefeated in their last 5 games scoring 11 goals in the process. However the main ingredient missing is the presence of a Target Man. Huntelaar has failed to deliver and is still without a goal for his new club and Inzaghi is too old to play every 90minutes. Pato needs support. Enter Marco Borriello the former Genoa star has been plagued with injuries ever since his return to Milan having scored 19 goals in his last fit season. Yesterday against Parma he was reborn. It was the his first 90minutes in almost a year and he capped it off with 2 goals including a wonderful scissor kick to seal the win. His skill and finishing is unquestionable but if he can keep fit, AC Milan and Italy's long lost top class Striker has been finally unearthed in their own backyard. Ronaldinho appears to have found new motivation, although still a shadow of his formal self he seems to be heading in the right direction and playing for the team. He continues to provide assists for fun. Pirlo and Seedorf continue to impress by putting on performances that better explain why Ancelotti was keen to acquire the service of one or both of them (I still think 30million euros for Pirlo was enough to buy 2 younger players). They are match winners and the more you have in your team the better off you are. Nesta though has been truly magical, his elegance and grace are the markings of a dying breed of central defenders. Defenders that depended more on wit and skill than brute force. He is definitely back to his best. There is not greater resurrection however than that of Nelson Dida.

Leonardo should be given a lot of credit for sticking with him and supporting him even after his howler in Madrid. Dida was almost sold last season and has been sidelined to the fringes of Milan. A string of injuries to Abbiati and Storari gave him a chance to showcase his talents versus Madrid and he failed miserably. But thanks to Leo, he has been outstanding ever since pulling off incredible saves against both Chievo, Napoli and Parma.

Milan off course play Real Madrid again next Tuesday and everything could be undone with a home loss although I disagree. Regardless of the result Leonardo has silenced a large part of his critics, myself included with tactical awareness, man management and courage. I will not be surprised if Pato and co put Real to the sword a second time.

Check out the Borriello Goals versus Parma